The Everest 2024 free preview & betting strategy | October 19

The Everest 2024 tips
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What 2024 Everest
Where Royal Randwick Racecourse – Sydney, NSW
When Saturday, October 19, 2024
Prizemoney $20,000,000
Distance 1200m
Status Group 1
Conditions Weight For Age
2023 Winner Think About It (5) | Trainer: Joseph Pride | Jockey: Sam Clipperton (5kg)

The richest race on turf has arrived, with the eighth renewal of the $20 million Everest (1200m).

An even field of 12 has been assembled to climb the mountain by slot holders, and for the first time ever, Group 1 status is up for grabs in Australia’s marquee sprinting feature.

Last year’s runner-up I Wish I Win has been the long-standing $5.00 favourite with horse racing bookmakers for the event, with the Peter Moody & Katherine Coleman-trained gelding one of the first confirmed runners and will represent Trackside Media. The pair of Joliestar and Growing Empire share the second line of betting at $6.00, while Bella Nipotina ($8.00) is the big drifter after drawing barrier 12. Godolphin will be represented by Traffic Warden ($8.00), while double figure odds available for every other runner, including 2022 Everest winner Giga Kick at $11.00.

The logical on-speed influence will come in the form of the Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott-trained Storm Boy, with the three-year-old attempting to utilize the lightweight and press to the lead from barrier five. Growing Empire (7) is drawn to his outside and should slide across to sit on his outside, leaving James McDonald to gain the economical run from the one-one aboard Joliestar (4). I Am Me (1) can kick up to hold a position from the inside draw, while the likes of Traffic Warden (2), Stefi Magnetica (6) and Giga Kick (3) should make up the mid-field contingent.

The 2024 Everest is set to get underway at 4:15pm AEST on Saturday, October 19.

Keep reading for HorseBetting’s full runner-by-runner preview and $100 betting strategy for the 2024 Everest.

I Wish I Win silks1. I Wish I Win (9)

6yo Gelding | T: Peter Moody & Katherine Coleman | J: Luke Nolen (58.5kg)

There are two camps regarding this year’s favourite I Wish I Win. You either believe he’s ready to peak and pounce on his rivals to go one better in this year’s Everest, or he’s not going as well as last year. Based on his first two runs of the campaign, the jury is out for the son of Savabeel, despite rattling off some strong closing sectionals in the Group 1 Manikato Stakes (1200m) on September 27. Barrier nine is a positive, and getting back to Randwick should be ideal; however, the six-year-old will need to be swooping over the top of some handy types from the rear of the field, and the $5.00 currently available seems too short given the task he’ll be set.

Giga Kick silks2. Giga Kick (3)

5yo Gelding | T: Clayton Douglas | J: Mark Zahra (58.5kg)

The 2022 Everest winner Giga Kick should be primed for a third-up peak after a lengthy break due to injury. The gelding by Scissor Kick was only moderate through the line in a slowly run edition of the Group 2 Premiere Stakes (1200m) at this course and distance on October 5 and was beaten handsomely by the likes of Mazu and Bella Nipotina. He gets every chance for redemption from barrier three and Mark Zahra in the saddle, however, Giga Kick simply hasn’t shown enough in his two prior performances to suggest he a major player in this year’s Everest.

Prviate Eye silks3. Private Eye (10)

7yo Gelding | T: Joseph Pride | J: Jay Ford (58.5kg)

The Joseph Pride-trained Private Eye just continues to be plagued by bad barriers in these big races. The seven-year-old is flying into this year’s Everest and was one of the best from the beaten brigade behind I Am Me in The Shorts (1100m) at Randwick on September 21 after racing wide without cover throughout. Jay Ford will have no choice but to drag back from barrier 10 to ensure that doesn’t happen again, but if the breaks do fall his way, watch for Prviate Eye to be flashing home down the centre of the course at juicy odds with horse betting sites.

Bella Nipotina silks4. Bella Nipotina (12)

7yo Mare | T: Ciaron Maher | J: Craig Williams (56.5kg)

Is there a more consistent mare in the nation than Bella Nipotina? The first of three Ciaron Maher-trained gallopers continues to show up in these big weight-for-age features, including a runner-up effort in this year’s Group 1 TJ Smith Stakes (1200m) before claiming multiple Group 1’s in Queensland through the winter months. She never runs a bad race, and although barrier 12 is the major knock against her chances, Bella Nipotina must be considered a winning hope in the 2024 Everest.

I Am Me silks5. I Am Me (1)

6yo Mare | T: Ciaron Maher | J: Nash Rawiller (56.5kg)
I Am Me hasn’t put a foot wrong winning both the traditional lead-ups heading into the Everest. She had everything in her favour on both occasions, however, stalking her rivals from barrier two to claim the Group 3 Concorde Stakes (1000m) and The Shorts in back-to-back starts. She gets map favours once again from barrier one this time around, but with this field possessing much more depth, and the 1200m a query amongst most pundits, I Am Me should be labelled a top five chance at best.

Stefi Magnetica silks6. Stefi Magnetica (6)

4yo Mare | T: Bjorn Baker | J: Zac Lloyd (56.5kg)

We’re going to learn a lot about some of these younger horses in this year’s Everest, and that includes the Bjorn Baker-trained Stefi Magnetica. She announced herself as a mare on the rise with an impressive victory in the Group 1 Stradbroke Handicap (1400m) at Eagle Farm on June 15 before returning with a blistering turn-of-speed to finish runner-up in the Group 2 Shorts, gaining her spot into the $20 million feature. Does she have the class to feature in this only second-up into the campaign? At the each-way odds, punters should be happy to find out.

Sunshine In Paris silks7. Sunshine In Paris (8)

5yo Mare | T: Annabel Neasham & Rob Archibald | J: Tommy Berry (56.5kg)

Is Sunshine In Paris the forgotten horse in this year’s Everest? The daughter of Invader couldn’t have been more impressive dispatching her rivals in the Group 2 Sheraco Stakes (1200m) at Rosehill on September 14, with the immediate plans to head here with a month between runs. She’s dynamic, versatile, and handles all conditions. If Tommy Berry can slot in from barrier eight, Sunshine In Paris bobbing up in the finish wouldn’t come as any shock.

Joliestar silks8. Joliestar (4)

4yo Mare | T: Chris Waller | J: James McDonald (56.5kg)

You only need to trust the first-up display by Joliestar in the Group 3 Show County Quality (1200m) at this track and trip to grasp her chances in the $20 million feature. While beaten convincingly second-up in the Sheraco, nothing went to plan for the daughter of Zoustar, ridden negatively towards the rear of the field and racing wide without cover throughout. James McDonald gets legged aboard to continue his association with this untapped four-year-old, and with Joliestar yet to be defeated at the Randwick 1200m, this could be the day McDonald chalks up his 100th Group 1 win.

Growing Empire silks9. Growing Empire (7)

3yo Colt | T: Ciaron Maher | J: Kerrin McEvoy (53kg)

Growing Empire is the first of four very intriguing three-year-olds engaged in the 2024 Everest. The argument can be made the son of Zoustar should be undefeated heading into this, only being narrowly defeated twice in his six-start career, including his latest effort in the Manikato Stakes at Moonee Valley on September 27 when getting nosed out by Southport Tycoon. Kerrin McEvoy knows a thing or two about winning an Everest, boasting three wins across the seven editions, and provided he can get across from gate seven, he could easily be adding a fourth to his trophy cabinet.

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Traffic Warden silks10. Traffic Warden (2)

3yo Colt | T: James Cummings | J: Jamie Kah (53kg)

Traffic Warden brings a very similar profile into this as the 2019 Everest winner Yes Yes Yes. They both finished runner-up in the Group 1 Golden Rose (1400m) before dropping back in trip, the major difference being Traffic Warden claimed the Group 2 Run To The Rose (1200m) the start prior. Jamie Kah has never missed the frame when being legged aboard the progressive three-year-old, and with barrier two allowing her to land in the ideal stalking position throughout, punters can expect Traffic Warden to be fighting out the finish at a good price with horse racing bookmakers.

Storm Boy silks11. Storm Boy (5)

3yo Colt | T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott | J: Brenton Avdulla (53kg)

Storm Boy is in a very similar position to Traffic Warden, both coming through the traditional three-year-old form-lines. The Justify colt was only beaten a combined two lengths across those performances and didn’t shirk the task leading out at genuine clip in the Run To The Rose and Golden Rose respectively. He should get a picnic up on speed with a lack of temp engaged in this year’s Everest, however, he does have a nasty habit of missing the start, and if he does that here, it could put the end to his winning chances.

Lady Of Camelot silks12. Lady Of Camelot (11)

3yo Filly | T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott | J: Rachel King (51kg)

Lady Of Camelot is the rank outsider, and you’d have to say for good reason. The Group 1 Golden Slipper (1200m) just hasn’t come up this preparation, and while you can make some minor excuses for her poor performances, it’s hard to justify having her in-and-around your numbers. Her best chance is to attempt leading and throw a spanner into the works on the speed map, however, with the likely instructions to drag back from stall 11, Lady Of Camelot will have a hard time rounding up this lot.

Overpass silks13. Overpass (E1) (TBC)

6yo Gelding | T: Bjorn Baker | J: TBC (58.5kg)

If there was a scratching leading into the Everest, slot holders should be more than happy to take on Overpass. The son of Vancouver has been trialling like a bomb heading into his first-up assignment and boasts a formidable fresh record of seven starts for three wins and three more minor placings. He would be another obvious pacemaker in this field, and if he were to get into this, Overpass would give a bold sight.

Think About It silks14. Think About It (E2) (TBC)

6yo Gelding | T: Joseph Pride | J: TBC (58.5kg)

It’s quite remarkable we don’t have last year’s Everest winner in the final field of 12. Regardless, if the Joseph Pride-trained gelding did get a late call up, he wouldn’t be out of place amongst a field like this. He was terrific through the line from an unwinnable position in the Premiere Stakes a fortnight ago, and if he can bounce of that second-up into the campaign, Think About It would have claims if he’s a late inclusion.

Southport Tycoon silks15. Southport Tycoon (E3) (TBC)

4yo Horse | T: Ciaron Maher | J: TBC (58.5kg)

If I Wish I Win is considered a genuine chance, Southport Tycoon would logically come into calculations provided he gains a start. The multiple Group 1 winner was sensational in the Manikato, closing off with the fastest closing splits of the entire meeting at Moonee Valley on September 27. If he doesn’t get a spot in here, watch out for him in the $2 million Sydney Stakes earlier on the Randwick program.

Mazu silks16. Mazu (E4) (TBC)

6yo Gelding | T: Joseph Pride | J: (TBC) (58.5kg)

Mazu would be the least likely to line up of the fourth emergencies, especially if the rain doesn’t come on the day. He’s been better on top of the ground of late, however, his best form is still on rain-affected going. Could he figure in a race like this if he gets a start? Unlikely.

2024 Everest selections & best bets

Selections:

  • Joliestar silks8

    JOLIESTAR

  • Traffic Warden silks10

    TRAFFIC WARDEN

  • Stefi Magnetica silks6

    STEFI MAGNETICA

  • Growing Empire silks9

    GROWING EMPIRE

$100 betting strategy
$50 Win Joliestar (#8) @ +500 with Neds
$30 Win Traffic Warden (#10) @ +800 with Playup
$20 Win Stefi Magnetica (#6) @ +1400 with Picklebet

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