Tancred Stakes 2024 Group 1 betting tips & preview | March 30

The stayers take centre stage at Rosehill Gardens on Saturday afternoon, with the Group 1 Tancred Stakes (2400m) taking top billing on what’s sure to be another outstanding autumn day of racing. A field of 11 has accepted for the event, including the William Haggas-trained Post Impressionist on the one-week back-up after a terrific performance in the Group 2 N E Manion Cup (2400m).

Will the European prove too good and take home the $1.5 million prize? Or is there an upset brewing?

2024 Tancred Stakes odds

Online bookmakers wasted no time installing Post Impressionist as a +140 favourite in the 2024 Tancred Stakes, and it is easy to see why, after his demolition of his rivals in last Saturday’s N E Manion Cup.

Buckaroo is clear on the second line of betting at +380, while the only three-year-old taking on the older horses comes in the form of the James Cummings-trained Tom Kitten, being respected on the third line as a +600 chance.

Military Mission (+800) rounds out the chances in single figures, while the pair of Ashrun and More Felons appear best of the rest at +900 apiece.

2024 Tancred Stakes speed map

There doesn’t seem to be much speed on paper in the Tancred Stakes, however, Military Mission’s best asset is to go forward, and could manage to get a soft run crossing to the rail despite drawing stall 10. The Annabel Neasham-trained Gear Up appears the most likely to be sent to sit on his outside, while Ashrun (1) and More Felons (2) will be ridden up to hold a position just in behind the leading pair.

Post Impressionist (3) circled the entire field last start, so don’t be surprised to see Tom Marquand allow him to drift back towards the rear of the field.

Jamie Kah has a choice to make aboard Tom Kitten from barrier nine; utilise the light weight and go forward, risking the chance of being cast wide without cover, or dragging back from the awkward gate.

Continue reading for HorseBetting’s top tips and $100 betting strategy for the 2024 Tancred Stakes.

Tancred Stakes 2024 preview & form

Post Impressionist simply must go on top after despatching his rivals in dominant fashion last Saturday in the Group 2 N E Manion Cup. He rounded them up with relative ease to score by 3.4 lengths under a patient steer from ‘Aussie’ Tom Marquand, making a statement on behalf of the William Haggas barn. Initially it seemed the Group 1 Sydney Cup (3200m) on April 13 would be the next target, however, with the team electing to change course and head to this event first, punters should be happy to take the lead from the stable as Post Impressionist searches for back-to-back wins on Australian soil.

The Chris Waller-trained Buckaroo impressed last Saturday when bounding into minor money in the Group 1 Ranvet Stakes (2000m) and has genuine claims in this event. He was no match for Via Sistina but never shirked the task, hitting the line well to suggest the 2400m could be a major positive. The son of Fastnet Rock has never been tested over 2000m in the past, however, if the five-year-old can replicate a similar effort on the one-week back up, Buckaroo appears to be the main danger.

After proving far too classy for his rivals in the Listed Pakenham Cup (2500m) on March 15, the Ciaron Maher barn have elected to send Ashrun to Sydney for the first time. He draws to get a soft run in transit on Saturday, and although the Sydney Cup appears to be his grand final in two weeks, the well-versed eight-year-old has the ability to be considered a major player.

Tom Kitten was a shade disappointing last Saturday in the Group 1 Rosehill Guineas (2000m), however, it is hard to ignore the 5kg weight swing he gets on some key rivals. Jamie Kah makes the trip to Sydney to take the reins, and although it is unclear as to whether Tom Kitten will stay the journey, the Godolphin three-year-old warrants respect.

Tancred Stakes 2024 selections & best bets

• 5
  

  POST IMPRESSIONIST

• 1
  

  BUCKAROO

• 3
  

  ASHRUN

• 11
  

  TOM KITTEN

2024 Tancred Stakes Final Field

1. Buckaroo (7)

• T: Chris Waller
• J: Tommy Berry
• W: 59kg
• F: 35×57
• Age: 5YO
• Color: Bay
• Sex: Horse
• Sire: Fastnet Rock
• Dam: Roheryn (IRE)

+400
-125

2. Military Mission (10)

• T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott
• J: Adam Hyeronimus
• W: 59kg
• F: 53×10
• Age: 6YO
• Color: Grey
• Sex: Gelding
• Sire: Mastercraftsman (IRE)
• Dam: Atlantic Isle (GER)

+800
+160

3. Ashrun (1)

• T: Ciaron Maher
• J: Jason Collett
• W: 59kg
• F: 14×42
• Age: 8YO
• Color: Bay
• Sex: Gelding
• Sire: Authorized (IRE)
• Dam: Ashantee (GER)

+800
+160

4. More Felons (2)

• T: Chris Waller
• J: James McDonald
• W: 59kg
• F: 1x05x
• Age: 5YO
• Color: Bay
• Sex: Gelding
• Sire: Churchill (IRE)
• Dam: Pivotalia (IRE)

+800
+160

5. Post Impressionist (3)

• T: William Haggas
• J: Tom Marquand
• W: 59kg
• F: 1×197
• Age: 5YO
• Color: Bay
• Sex: Gelding
• Sire: Teofilo (IRE)
• Dam: Island Remede (GB)

+150
-285.71

6. Gear Up (6)

• T: Annabel Neasham
• J: Nash Rawiller
• W: 59kg
• F: 13×00
• Age: 6YO
• Color: Grey
• Sex: Gelding
• Sire: Teofilo (IRE)
• Dam: Gearanai (USA)

+3000
+500

7. Kalapour (5)

• T: Kris Lees
• J: Dylan Gibbons
• W: 59kg
• F: 20×01
• Age: 7YO
• Color: Bay
• Sex: Gelding
• Sire: War Command (USA)
• Dam: Kaladena (IRE)

+3000
+500

8. Bois D’Argent (4)

• T: Annabel Neasham
• J: Chad Schofield
• W: 59kg
• F: 2×476
• Age: 7YO
• Color: Grey
• Sex: Gelding
• Sire: Toronado (IRE)
• Dam: Madonna Lily (IRE)

+1600
+290

9. Athabascan (11)

• T: John O’Shea
• J: Tyler Schiller
• W: 59kg
• F: 46×27
• Age: 5YO
• Color: Bay
• Sex: Gelding
• Sire: Almanzor (FR)
• Dam: Alzubra (GB)

+3000
+500

10. Little Mix (8)

• T: Annabel Neasham
• J: Joshua Parr
• W: 57kg
• F: 458×2
• Age: 5YO
• Color: Bay
• Sex: Mare
• Sire: Mahisara
• Dam: Girls Aloud

+6000
+1000

11. Tom Kitten (9)

• T: James Cummings
• J: Jamie Kah
• W: 54kg
• F: 6456x
• Age: 3YO
• Color: Bay
• Sex: Colt
• Sire: Harry Angel (IRE)
• Dam: Transfers

+600
+120

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