Pakenham synthetic best bets & quaddie | Thursday, September 22

Pakenham synthetic betting tips

What Pakenham Synthetic Races
Where Pakenham Racing Club
When Thursday, September 22, 2022
First Race 4:20pm AEST

For the second time this week, the synthetic track at Pakenham is set to host racing in Victoria where eight races are to be run and won on Thursday night. Perfect conditions are forecast in Melbourne’s south-east, so there should be no excuses for fancied runners throughout the meeting which gets underway at 4:20pm AEST.

PAKENHAM BEST BET: I Am Caviar

He may be one for the breeding purists I Am Caviar but needs to bounce back in some way on Thursday night if he is to be taken seriously. The three-year-old colt sired by I Am Invincible out of the superstar mare Black Caviar was backed as if unbeatable on debut at Moe on September 6, before fading drastically to finish fifth beaten nearly four-lengths. Prior to that debut effort on a Soft 7, he had trialled up a treat winning a Traralgon 950m trial by a space. From barrier eight, we expect the plan to be simple for Luke Nolen; find the rail, have him kick on the home bend and ultimately prove too hard to run down. He may not follow the pathway that his parents have set, but I Am Caviar on paper looks to be a clear best bet of the day.

Best Bet

Race 4 – silks#6 I Am Caviar (8)

3yo Colt | T: Peter Moody | J: Luke Nolen (57kg)

$4.50 with Bet365

NEXT BEST AT PAKENHAM: Miss Passion

We will be hoping it is a big night at Pakenham for the Peter Moody yard as we expect his three-year-old filly Miss Passion to break her maiden at start three. The Redoute’s Choice filly has finished second at both of her runs, including when beaten 3.5 lengths behind the progressive Bubble Palace at Ballarat earlier in the year. She returned with a respectable second behind Galeka at Geelong on September 4 when racing up on speed and just couldn’t go with the eventual winner who had the gun run in transit throughout. She looks set to gain an easy lead in this if she can show her early barrier speed again and if she can be afforded a cheap sectional over 1100m then Miss Passion should just prove too hard to gun down.

Next Best

Race 3 – silks#11 Miss Passion (12)

3yo Filly | T: Peter Moody | J: Blaike McDougall (55kg)

$2.15 with Neds

PAKENHAM VALUE BET: Diesel ‘N’ Dust

The Jason Warren-trained Diesel ‘N’ Dust is a genuine Pakenham synthetic specialist, and we expect he will build on his impressive record on Thursday night. The five-year-old gelding boasts a record of 5: 2-1-2 on the Pakenham all-weather track and comes to this BM64 event on the back of narrow defeats in tougher company. Last time he was held up for a run at a crucial point but flew home late to be beaten under a length. He hasn’t won in over a year, but the drop back to BM64 grade should be the tonic for success. With Hannah Le Blanc on board who claims 3kg, look for Diesel ‘N’ Dust to give his rivals something to catch and with a bit of luck we get a nice price about him with online bookmakers.

Best Value

Race 6 – silks#2 Diesel ‘N’ Dust (7)

5yo Gelding | T: Jason Warren | J: Hannah Le Blanc (a3) (63kg)

$3.50 with Bet365

Thursday quaddie tips for Pakenham

Pakenham quadrella selections

Thursday, September 22, 2022

  1. 1-2-5
  2. 1-2-4-8
  3. 4-7-8
  4. 1-3-4

Investment: $108 for 100%

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