What | Pakenham Races |
Where | Pakenham Racecourse – 420 Nar Nar Goon–Longwarry Rd, Tynong VIC 3813 |
When | Thursday, January 11, 2024 |
First Race | 5pm AEDT |
Visit Dabble |
Thursday night racing returns to Pakenham Racecourse for another year, where a bumper nine-race meeting is set down for decision. With plenty of rain in Melbourne’s south-east, the track has come up a Heavy 8 at the time of acceptances, but with favourable conditions forecast, we should be beginning on an improving surface. The rail sticks in the true position, with action commencing at 5pm AEDT.
Best Bet at Pakenham: Lonfire
Danny O’Brien’s Lonfire has not been beaten far in two runs this campaign, finishing third at Kyneton on December 14, before hitting the line strongly at Geelong when finishing second behind Regal Vow. He gave his rivals a massive start at Geelong, but the Lonhro gelding produced a strong finish to only just miss out. The Pakenham straight should suit the four-year-old down to the ground, with Fred Kersley no doubt looking to find clear air and letting Lonfire build through his gears. With even luck, and armed with a strong turn of foot, Lonfire looks too good for his rivals in this.
Best Bet
Race 7 – #4 Lonfire (7)
4yo Gelding | T: Danny O’Brien | J: Fred Kersley (60.5kg)
-666.67 with Neds
Next Best at Pakenham: Justaboom
Justaboom from the Robbie Griffiths & Mathew de Kock has begun his career in decent enough fashion to suggest she should be breaking maiden ranks at start three. The Justify filly worked to the line nicely on debut at Sandown, before chasing home Red Mile at Cranbourne on December 22. Despite being beaten 1.3 lengths last time out, Justaboom managed to put six lengths on his closest rival in an on-speed dominated affair. Despite not being able to reel in the leader, the chestnut filly looks to have a struck a maiden no harder than last time out. Jamie Mott will have her settled up on speed, and from there, Justaboom should prove too hard to gun down.
Next Best
Race 2 – #10 Justaboom (5)
3yo Filly | T: Robbie Griffiths & Mathew de Kock | J: Jamie Mott (56.5kg)
-125 with Picklebet
Next Best Again at Pakenham: Hellfire
Fresh off a six-month spell, the Nikki Burke-trained Hellfire looks ready to fire on Thursday night. The four-year-old gelding has resumed with a couple of quiet jumpouts as he makes his return to the racetrack, and the son of Hellbent looks to bring the right formlines into a race like this. With a win and three minor placings on rain-affected ground, we know he will handle the conditions in front of him. With form behind the likes of Golden Path, Lounge Bar Rubi and Brung King, Hellfire looks perfectly placed in BM64 company. He will need a genuinely run 1400m event as he looks to get back and run on. With even luck, Hellfire can finish over the top of his rivals, and in doing so salute at a nice price with top horse racing bookmakers.
Next Best Again
Race 9 – #1 Hellfire (11)
4yo Gelding | T: Nikki Burke | J: Jamie Mott (60kg)
+230 with Dabble
Thursday quaddie tips for Pakenham
Pakenham quadrella selections
Thursday, January 11, 2024
- 1-4-6-7-10
- 4-8
- 2-5-6-7
- 1-2-6-7
| Copy this bet straight to your betslip
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