| What | 2024 Northerly Stakes |
| Where | Ascot Racecourse – Perth, Western Australia |
| When | Saturday, December 7, 2024 |
| Prizemoney | $1,500,000 |
| Distance | 1800m |
| Conditions | Weight For Age |
| 2023 winner | Dom To Shoot (1) | T: Sean & Jake Casey | J: Jarrad Noske (59kg) |
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The Group 1 Northerly Stakes (1800m) will be the feature event on the nine-race card at Ascot this Saturday afternoon. With 18 runners accepting for the 16-horse contest, a full field is expected to take their place in the final Group 1 of the calendar year.
Western Australian-based trainers have had a stranglehold on the Northerly Stakes in recent times, particularly the Grant & Alana Williams stable, who have won three of the last six editions. Due to their only being four runners heading west from Eastern states, will the home town dominance continue, or will an interstate runner steal the Northerly Stakes title?
2024 Northerly Stakes odds
The Mitchell Freedman-trained Attrition opened as the favourite at $4.60 with horse racing bookmakers, just ahead of the 2024 WA Guineas winner, Storyville, who sits on the second line of betting at $4.80. Three other runners have been marked under $10, with Democracy Manifest ($6.50), Super Smink ($7.50) and Light Infantry Man ($8.00) given strong chances after running in the Group 1 Railway Stakes two weeks ago. Outside of the market fanices, Socks Nation ($12), Zipaway ($15) and Numerian ($21) are expected to be supported at bigger odds.
2024 Northerly Stakes speed map
There doesn’t appear to be a lot of speed in the 2024 Northerly Stakes as Marocchino is the only natural leader engaged in this contest. After pushing forward to settle on speed in the Railway Stakes, expect Socks Nation to do the same again, while William Pike will have a decision to make on Storyville from barrier one, and he they could land in the box seat. Attrition, Bustler and Zipaway should settle behind the top three and get the best runs in the race from their inside barriers. Democracy Manifest, Casino Seventeen and Super Smink will be at the back of the field, hoping for a strong tempo throughout the 1800m journey.
Continue reading for HorseBetting’s top selections and $100 betting strategy for the 2024 Northerly Stakes.
Northerly Stakes 2024 preview & form
Attrition goes on top in the 2024 Northerly Stakes, following a strong performance in the Listed Five Diamonds (1800m), where the Mitchell Freedman-trained entire was a little unlucky in the final 150m. Before his fourth-place finish in the Five Diamonds, the son of Churchill was a dominant winner of the Group 2 Hill Stakes (1900m) after settling on speed before sprinting away from his rivals in the concluding stages. Beau Mertens will make the trip over to Perth for this start, and if he can land in the first six from barrier five, Attrition can win his second Group 1 in as many years.
Super Smink has returned to form this preparation, finishing in the top three in each of her four starts, including a great win in the Group 3 Asian Beau Stakes. Meanwhile, Storyville brings great form from the three-year-old ranks and has to be considered, much like Democracy Manifest, who started as the favourite in the Five Diamonds and settled too far back in the Railway Stakes last start.
Northerly Stakes 2024 selections & best bets
2
ATTRITION
14
SUPER SMINK
16
STORYVILLE
6
DEMOCRACY MANIFEST
| $100 betting strategy | |
|---|---|
| $50 win | Attrition (#2) @ +360 with BlondeBet |
| $25 each-way | Overpass (#1) @ +650 & +160 with Playup |
2024 Northerly Stakes field
1. Numerian (9)
- T: Annabel Neasham & Rob Archibald
- J: Clint Johnston-Porter
- W: 59kg
- F: 8×901
- Age: 9YO
- Colour: Bay
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: Holy Roman Emperor (IRE)
- Dam: Delicate Charm (IRE)
+450
2. Attrition (5)
- T: Mitchell Freedman
- J: Beau Mertens
- W: 59kg
- F: 41472
- Age: 5YO
- Colour: Bay
- Sex: Horse
- Sire: Churchill (IRE)
- Dam: Queen’s Kiss
-111.11
3. Bustler (3)
- T: Neville Parnham
- J: Brad Parnham
- W: 59kg
- F: 020×0
- Age: 5YO
- Colour: Bay
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: Playing God
- Dam: Cosmah Domination
+550
4. Casino Seventeen (17)
- T: Grant & Alana Williams
- J: Jarrod Noske
- W: 59kg
- F: 01×68
- Age: 7YO
- Colour: Bay
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: Casino Prince
- Dam: Tikal
+450
5. Light Infantry Man (15)
- T: Ciaron Maher
- J: Ethan Brown
- W: 59kg
- F: 01796
- Age: 6YO
- Colour: Chestnut
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: Fast Company (IRE)
- Dam: Lights On Me (GB)
+170
6. Marocchino (13)
- T: Lou Luciani
- J: Jason Whiting
- W: 59kg
- F: 78×24
- Age: 8YO
- Colour: Brown
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: Maschino
- Dam: Comesitbesideme
+2000
7. Democracy Manifest (2)
- T: Chris Waller
- J: Mark Zahra
- W: 59kg
- F: 03804
- Age: 6YO
- Colour: Bay
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: Flying Artie
- Dam: Slippery Satin
+140
8. Let’s Galahvant (14)
- T: Daniel & Ben Pearce
- J: Shaun McGruddy
- W: 59kg
- F: 587×3
- Age: 6YO
- Colour: Brown
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: Galah
- Dam: Secret Crush
+450
9. Mojo Rhythm (10)
- T: Mitchell Pateman
- J: Patrick Carbery
- W: 59kg
- F: 6190x
- Age: 6YO
- Colour: Brown
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: Playing God
- Dam: Saddle Me Up
+1000
10. River Rubicon (12)
- T: Steve Wolfe
- J: Joseph Azzopardi
- W: 59kg
- F: 80932
- Age: 6YO
- Colour: Bay
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: Rubick
- Dam: Woodala
+2000
11. Currimundi (18)
- T: Steve Wolfe
- J: Jordan Turner
- W: 59kg
- F: 54200
- Age: 6YO
- Colour: Brown
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: Playing God
- Dam: Pins Perhaps (NZ)
+2000
12. Zipaway (4)
- T: Neville Parnham
- J: Steven Parnham
- W: 58.5kg
- F: 94×30
- Age: 4YO
- Colour: Bay
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: Playing God
- Dam: Boutique
+320
13. Admiration Express (11)
- T: Jason Miller
- J: Lucy Fiore
- W: 57kg
- F: 80312
- Age: 5YO
- Colour: Grey
- Sex: Mare
- Sire: My Admiration
- Dam: Comme Ci
+2000
14. Super Smink (6)
- T: Daniel Morton
- J: Chris Parnham
- W: 56.5kg
- F: 3123x
- Age: 4YO
- Colour: Bay
- Sex: Mare
- Sire: Super One
- Dam: Sminky Shorts
+160
15. Socks Nation (8)
- T: Ciaron Maher
- J: Declan Bates
- W: 56.5kg
- F: 030×1
- Age: 4YO
- Colour: Bay
- Sex: Mare
- Sire: Sioux Nation
- Dam: Tahnee Tiara
+260
16. Storyville (1)
- T: Grant & Alana Williams
- J: William Pike
- W: 50kg
- F: 11851
- Age: 3YO
- Colour: Bay
- Sex: Filly
- Sire: Overshare
- Dam: New Orleans
-105.26
17. Russian To The Bar (16)
- T: Luke Fernie
- J: TBC
- W: 58.5kg
- F: 369×0
- Age: 4YO
- Colour: Bay
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: Russian Revolution
- Dam: Rosie Rocket
+5000
18. Flower Of Gold (7)
- T: Simon Miller
- J: TBC
- W: 50kg
- F: 43311
- Age: 3YO
- Colour: Bay
- Sex: Filly
- Sire: Bull Point
- Dam: Indian Flower
+700
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