G3 The Ambrosoli finalist Shima Jake will be hoping for a change of fortune in a Grade 5 460m race at Geelong tonight after two luckless runs since resuming earlier this month.
Outlaw Ethics, Indy Lolly – victorious in four of her last five starts – and Zeeba’s Legacy will provide stiff opposition.
In-form Quintana Bale v dual G2 placed Fortuna Bale will be a great clash, while dual G2 country cup winner Yozo Bale highlights a Mixed 4/5 400m race.
Sandra’s Sticker, Highly Explosive and So Predictable are dropping back in class following their runs in heats of the Group 1 Bold Trease at Sandown Park last Friday night.
The Meadows 29.93sec winner Dynamic Prince is the standout chaser at Warrnambool this evening.
Today’s Drawcards
Trainer: Peter Presutto
Warrnambool 
Race 8
Box 3 
450m 
8:22pm
Claim to fame:
– Won 6 from 12
– 29.93 PB at The Meadows
TAB fixed odds: $2.10
The Watchdog says: Yes
Trainer: Andrea Dailly Geelong Race 8
Box 4 460m 9:28pm
Claim to fame:
– Won 3 of last 4
– 75% top-three from 36 starts
TAB fixed odds: $3
The Watchdog says: Yes
Trainer: Correy GrenfellGeelong Race 9
Box 2 400m 9:49pm
Claim to fame:
– Dual Group 2 winner
– 64% top-two from 75 starts
TAB fixed odds: $3
The Watchdog says: Yes
THE WATCHDOG’S $10 INVESTMENT 
Thursday 25 November
$1 Trifecta – 3 / 4 / 1,2,6,8 (25%) $1 Trifecta – 3 / 1,2,6,8 / 4 (25%) Geelong Race 3 460m 7:43pm
Form 
https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539255/race/3
The Watchdog says 
: GEORGE’S FANCY (3) is an absolute rocket and with an ounce of luck early, she will be scoring. ZIPPY VOLKSWAGON (4) is a strong type and with the field expected to bunch behind the top elect, he should be able to run into second or third.
$5 Win – ENAMOURED Warrnambool Race 7 Box 8 450m 8:07pm
TAB fixed odds: $2.25 Win
Form https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539219/race/7
The Watchdog says : ENAMOURED (8) has been ultra-impressive in her two runs to date and she should have enough pace to cross and lead at the bend. She takes on the much improved ASTON MARVEL (3), however he will be giving our selection a decent head start and that could be the difference.
$2 Multi
First 
: Win – TOOLONG TIGER Warrnambool Race 10 Box 8 390m 8:52pm
TAB fixed odds: $2.60 Win
Form https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539219/race/10
Second : Place – ASTON PIRATE Warrnambool Race 11 Box 3 390m 9:07pm
TAB fixed odds: $2.40 Place
Form https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539219/race/11
The Watchdog says : TOOLONG TIGER (8) has some impressive wins to his credit and he looks very well graded. With a good getaway, he can assume control quicky and score. ASTON PIRATE (3) is better than his form reads and with the inside two runners expected to hold the lead through the bend, he should be able to follow them through and he will be strong in the run to the line.
Multi price: $6.24
$1 Exacta – 4,8 / 1,4,8 (25%)
Must Watch Race
Grade 5
Geelong Race 7 460m 9:04pm
The Watchdog says : INDY LOLLY (4) should be able to pounce on the early lead and give a great sight, however she will need to be at her best to hold off SHIMA JAKE (8). OUTLAW ETHICS (1) has been included for second from the good draw.
‘Must Watch Race’ Preview :
Great contest and the in-form INDY LOLLY (4) is expected to lead them a merry dance. She has gone to another level in recent weeks at Ballarat with some blistering wins, however this is going to be her toughest test. SHIMA JAKE (8) has the class edge, and he will be looking to atone for some luckless runs since resuming. He showed enormous potential in his first preparation, and we will see the best of him when he steps up to 500m again. ZEEBA’S LEGACY (7) lit up Ballarat in late October and he can run a big race if he steps on terms, while former New South Wales speedster OUTLAW ETHICS (1) must be respected.
Form https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539255/race/7
The Watchdog’s selections: 8 – 1 – 4 – 7
RECENT $10 INVESTMENTS
Wednesday 24 November: $6.60 (-34%)
Tuesday 23 November: $8.20 (-18%)
Monday 22 November: $6.90 (-31%)
Sunday 21 November: $0 (-100%)
Saturday 20 November: $7.80 (-22%)
Friday 19 November: $9 (-10%)
Thursday 18 November: $16 (+60%)
Past 7 days: $54.50 for $70 invested (-22%)
Past 14 days: $140.04 for $140 invested (Even)
Past 28 days: $302.51 for $280 invested (+8%)
MONTH x MONTH RECORD
October 2021: $311.40 for $310 (Even)
September 2021: $220.69 for $300 (-26%)
August 2021: $262.63 for $310 (-15%)
July 2021: $309.18 for $300 (+3%)
June 2021: $324.38 for $300 (+8%)
NOTE: June was the first full-month of the new-look Daily Mail, in which The Watchdog has a $10 daily spend.
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