2023 Caulfield Guineas betting preview & best bets | October 14

2023 Caulfield Guineas preview

What 2023 Caulfield Guineas
Where Caulfield Racecourse
When Saturday, October 14, 2023
Prizemoney $3,000,000
Distance 1600m
Conditions Set Weights
2022 Winner Golden Mile (5) | T: James Cummings | J: James McDonald (57kg)

The Group 1 Caulfield Guineas (1600m) is one of the must-watch events during the Melbourne Spring Racing Carnival, and the 2023 edition is no exception. A stacked field of 15 three-year-old colts and geldings are set to compete for the $3,000,000 on offer in the feature event on Saturday’s 10-race card at Caulfield.

Three-time Group 1 winner Militarize headlines the field, while the undefeated Steparty will look to add a Group 1 win to an already impressive resume. Throw in the likes of King Colorado and Little Brose, who are already Group 1 winners, and black-type winners Veight and Griff, and we are set for what shapes to be a cracking edition of the Guineas.

2023 Caulfield Guineas odds

Following a jaw-dropping win in the Group 1 Golden Rose (1400m), the Chris Waller-trained Militarize is the +190 favourite with online betting sites for his Melbourne debut. Paul Preusker’s Steparty is hot on his heels at +280, whilst King Colorado from the Ciaron Maher & David Eustace barn sits on the third line of betting at +750 as the only other runner at a single figure quote. Scheelite (+1300), Veight (+1600) and Scentify (+1800) are the best of the rest.

2023 Caulfield Guineas speed map

There does not look to be too much speed in this year’s Guineas. Rock Empire will most likely lead the field up from barrier three, whilst Verdad will look to come over from the wide barrier (14), which should give Griff (15) a nice cart across the field. Steparty (7) looks set to land the one-one, whilst Veight (1) will stalk the lead pair throughout. Militarize (12) will most likely be settled towards the rear of the field alongside the likes of Scheelite (13), Wolfy (11) and Scentify (5).

Continue reading for HorseBetting’s top selections and $100 betting strategy for the 2023 Caulfield Guineas.

2023 Caulfield Guineas Preview & Form

With all due respect to the two favourites, we’re happy to take both on in Saturday’s feature. Militarize has shown plenty of ability, but his first start the Melbourne way from a tricky draw could prove troublesome, whilst Steparty looks a touch short at +280. In saying that, if either win, it would be no shock at all because they are clearly the ones to beat.

However, at a big each-way price, Veight presents great value in Saturday’s Group 1. He simply did too much wrong in the Group 3 Caulfield Guineas Prelude (1400m) when defeated by 2.65 lengths by the likes of Steparty, Southport Tycoon, and Scentify, who he all meets again this weekend. Damian Lane, who partnered this bloke to McNeil Stakes (1200m) glory first-up hops back on, and from barrier one, the pair will have every chance in the world to turn the tables on his rivals. He looks like he will relish the 1600m and, from the low draw, gain an economical run throughout. When the gap comes in the home straight, we’re confident Veight can boot clear and hold off the likes of Militarize and Steparty in an upset result.

Militarize has the runs on the board and is obviously the one to beat. He is already a Group 1 winner at the mile when saluting in the Group 1 Champagne Stakes (1600m) as a juvenile and his win in the Golden Rose suggested the 1600m third-up will be ideal. Joao Moreira will continue his strong partnership with the colt but will need to be at his world-class best to have Militarize in a striking position on the home turn. His turn of foot is electric, and as long as he isn’t too far off Steparty and co. when it matters, Militarize can blouse his rivals and bring up a fourth Group 1 success.

Steparty has done nothing wrong through his five-start career and gets his chance to claim Group 1 glory at start six. He showed some tactical versatility when settling midfield before grinding home late when claiming the Caulfield Guineas Prelude. He will have a decent tactical advantage on Militarize when turning for home, and if Steparty can go to another level, a Group 1 level in fact, he can keep his unbeaten streak intact with a professional performance.

King Colorado and Scheelite look to be the logical ones to fight out the back end of first fours, in what shapes to be an epic Caulfield Guineas.


2023 Caulfield Guineas selections & best bets

Selections:

  • silks5

    VEIGHT

  • silks1

    MILITARIZE

  • silks4

    STEPARTY

  • silks3

    KING COLORADO

$100 betting strategy
$50 Each-Way Soulcombe (#5) @ +1700 / +300 with Betfair

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