G3 Country Championship winner Love The City faces a stern test against Six Speed Manual – top-two in his last four starts – in a Restricted Win heat over 545m at Ballarat tonight.
Raph City v G3 finalist Hometown Hero v G3 finalist Octavia Bale and Zipping Scorcher v Balbina Bale v Nitro Bale are both top events.
Dual G1 placegetter Untapped, G3 winner Graclyn Bale and G1 finalist Fernando’s Quest clash in a 660m Special Event, while the in-form Body Hack stands out in a Mixed 4/5 390m race.
Set Me Free – triumphant over 525m at The Meadows on Saturday night – steps up to 600m at the same venue this afternoon.
Gold Driller v Two Phones v Disorientated should be a terrific battle at Sale this afternoon, while G3 Great Chase winner Ridge is also in action.
Today’s Drawcards
Trainer: Daniel Pell
Ballarat Race 4
Box 6 545m 7:58pm
Claim to fame:
– 1st G3 Country Championship
– 70% top-two from 17 starts
TAB fixed odds: $3.10
The Watchdog says: No
Trainer: Dustin Drew
Ballarat Race 8
Box 1 660m 9:22pm
Claim to fame:
– Dual Group 1 placegetter
– 67% top-three from 42 starts
TAB fixed odds: $2.40
The Watchdog says: Yes
Trainer: Alfred Debattista
Ballarat Race 10
Box 8 390m 10:04pm
Claim to fame:
– Won 10 of last 14
– Won 4 from 5 Box 8
TAB fixed odds: $1.45
The Watchdog says: Yes
THE WATCHDOG’S $10 INVESTMENT
Wednesday 27 April
$4 Multi
First : Win – AMRON DAN
The Meadows Race 1 Box 5 525m 11:39am
TAB fixed odds: $2.20 Win
Form https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666543008/race/1
Second : Place – ARGYLE LILLY
The Meadows Race 4 Box 1 525m 12:30pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.80 Place (Top two finish required)
Form https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666543008/race/4
Third : Win – MY BLUEBIRD
Sale Race 1 Box 2 440m 3:10pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.70 Win
Form https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/766390221/race/1
The Watchdog says : AMRON DAN (5) was very unlucky here last Wednesday, and he is expected to make amends today. The box draw is a slight concern, but there is limited pace drawn inside, so he should be able to cross at the bend. ARGYLE LILLY (1) is drawn to lead, and she looks very well graded in this event, so a top-two finish looks likely. MY BLUEBIRD (2) was enormous here last time and with a clean getaway, she can pounce on the lead, and she will be carving out serious time.
Multi price: $6.73
$6 Win – SIX SPEED MANUAL
Must Watch Race
Restricted Win Heat
Ballarat Race 4
Box 1 545m 7:58pm
TAB fixed odds: $2.10 Win
The Watchdog says : SIX SPEED MANUAL (1) was a blistering 30.63sec winner here two runs back and he should be able to hold the lead from the inside draw. He meets a couple of handy ones including Group 3 winner LOVE THE CITY (6), but I don’t think they will be able to go sub 30.60sec coming from off the pace, so he should be leading throughout.
‘Must Watch Race’ Preview :
LOVE THE CITY (6) is already a Group 3 winner and she was impressive through the Launching Pad series at Sandown Park. She steps up to 545m for the first time tonight and she gives every indication that this journey will suit. She has the ability to carve out around 30.60sec, however the box draw is a big concern. SIX SPEED MANUAL (1) has some blistering provincial runs to his credit, and he was a dazzling 30.63 winner here two runs back. He comes up with the inside draw tonight, so he should be able to fire through and lead and he has proven to be very hard to get past. ASTON MARVEL (2) can be hard to follow at times, but he loves a rails draw and he can dial up the pressure in the middle stages, while QUINCEE BALE (7) has class on his side, and he should get a nice cart across early. MASTER CLASS (8) can run the hands off the clock and is capable of an upset.
Form https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666543009/race/4
The Watchdog’s selections: 1 – 2 – 6 – 7
RECENT $10 INVESTMENTS
Tuesday 26 April: $10 (Even)
Monday 25 April: $14.28 (+42%)
Sunday 24 April: $26.04 (+160%)
Saturday 23 April: $0 (-100%)
Friday 22 April: $0 (-100%)
Thursday 21 April: $9.20 (-8%)
Wednesday 20 April: $22.84 (+128%)
Past 7 days: $82.36 for $70 invested (+17%)
Past 14 days: $179.63 for $140 invested (+28%)
Past 28 days: $328.57 for $280 invested (+17%)
MONTH x MONTH RECORD
March 2022: $392.18 for $310 (+26%)
February 2022: $288.97 for $280 (+3%)
January 2022: $302.53 for $310 (-3%)
December 2021: $384.82 for $300 (+28%)
November 2021: $300.47 for $300 (Even)
October 2021: $311.40 for $310 (Even)
September 2021: $220.69 for $300 (-27%)
August 2021: $262.63 for $310 (-15%)
July 2021: $309.18 for $300 (+3%)
June 2021: $324.38 for $300 (+8%)
NOTE: June was the first full-month of the new-look Daily Mail, in which The Watchdog has a $10 daily spend.
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